Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.379344 0.441445 0.510131 0.591681 0.685820 0.791037 0.917524
2025-03-16 0.264095 0.343578 0.441229 0.569798 0.734407 0.937891 1.208365
2025-03-23 0.223825 0.315197 0.436125 0.607375 0.843132 1.155763 1.601318
2025-03-30 0.180219 0.271032 0.398851 0.591065 0.871926 1.266363 1.861363
2025-04-06 0.147698 0.235268 0.365321 0.571388 0.888447 1.356342 2.097541
2025-04-13 0.123268 0.206806 0.337016 0.553244 0.901674 1.439107 2.328361
2025-04-20 0.108849 0.191410 0.325851 0.558768 0.950033 1.577972 2.658319
2025-04-27 0.101417 0.186171 0.329797 0.588408 1.039551 1.790075 3.127653
2025-05-04 0.093028 0.177860 0.327138 0.605881 1.109724 1.976670 3.573616
2025-05-11 0.084156 0.167272 0.318882 0.611947 1.159853 2.133229 3.983132
2025-05-18 0.075345 0.155452 0.306694 0.608894 1.192374 2.260996 4.353200
2025-05-25 0.067179 0.143677 0.292974 0.600934 1.214180 2.370520 4.699682
2025-06-01 0.060570 0.134312 0.283098 0.599948 1.250684 2.513917 5.131439
2025-06-08 0.052700 0.121199 0.264116 0.578382 1.244122 2.574661 5.410790
2025-06-15 0.051261 0.121797 0.273433 0.616539 1.363689 2.896046 6.245396
2025-06-22 0.045352 0.111482 0.258143 0.599992 1.365996 2.979648 6.599430
2025-06-29 0.039945 0.101514 0.242276 0.580027 1.358222 3.040792 6.911521
2025-07-06 0.035329 0.092741 0.227943 0.561618 1.351464 3.102804 7.231122
2025-07-13 0.032787 0.088719 0.224131 0.567222 1.400049 3.290485 7.848715
2025-07-20 0.031917 0.088836 0.230225 0.597297 1.509341 3.624943 8.833874
2025-07-27 0.030387 0.086995 0.231265 0.615026 1.590902 3.903848 9.718102
2025-08-03 0.028383 0.083579 0.227895 0.621181 1.644612 4.122712 10.481744
2025-08-10 0.026131 0.079134 0.221283 0.618083 1.674530 4.287289 11.129753